Piteå IF – FBK Karlstad

Model: TIPPSA

Piteå IF – FBK Karlstad

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.19
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 5
StartStarted 27d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 9h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Piteå IF FBK Karlstad
Last 5 form L-W-L-L-L W-W-W-W-L
Avg goals scored 1.00 2.20
Avg goals conceded 2.60 0.60
Home/Away form L-L-L-L (home) W-W-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.75 scored / 3.25 conceded 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 7.80 against 6.20 for / 3.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.00 for / 8.75 against (home) 5.75 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FBK Karlstad. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.5% 7D: 16.4% 15D: -3.9% 30D: -1.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.99First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds1.69Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Piteå IF – FBK Karlstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate52.7%
Profit+11.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
WINAcademia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin2.350.84%
LOSSOdense BK II (W) - BSF (W)2.021.76%
LOSSUniao Rondonopolis - Mixto2.380.84%
WINGIF Sundsvall - Sandvikens IF2.350.84%
WINIshoj - VSK Arhus2.300.84%
WINCong An HCMC II - Ho Chi Minh City2.041.21%
WINChengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2.260.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 27d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 9h ago
Torna in alto