Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves – Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Model: TIPPSA

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 3:35 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 46d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesHOME
VS
Guizhou Zhucheng AthleticAWAY
LLLDD
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
2.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
2.00
Home splitL-D-D-D-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.26
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 19.3% 7D: 29.6% 15D: 24.1% 30D: 6.7%
Model insight

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves – Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample105
Win Rate50.5%
Profit+8.22u
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WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 3:35 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 46d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 10h ago
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