Cong An HCMC II – Ho Chi Minh City

Model: TIPPSA

Cong An HCMC II vs Ho Chi Minh City

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ho Chi Minh City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ho Chi Minh City

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.61First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.61Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cong An HCMC IIHOME
VS
Ho Chi Minh CityAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WLWDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
4.20
0.40
Shots on target for
1.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
2.80
Home splitL-L-L-W-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.04. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Vietnam V-League 2 (vn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.04
V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Ho Chi Minh City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 10.7% 7D: 8.2% 15D: 22.8% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

Cong An HCMC II – Ho Chi Minh City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample84
Win Rate53.6%
Profit+10.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTorpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK2.151.21%
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.21% • n=228
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 3h ago
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