Model: TIPPSH

St Gallen vs FC Thun

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 55d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 58d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Gallen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St Gallen

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St GallenHOME

FC ThunAWAY

DWWLW

Recent form

DLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

3.00

Shots on target for

6.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

7.80

Home splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives St Gallen a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to St Gallen's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 27.2% 7D: 21.1% 15D: -2.1% 30D: 0.2%

Model insight

St Gallen – FC Thun Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample49

Win Rate38.8%

Profit-4.09u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Rouen - Laval	2.29	-1.54%
LOSS	Aarau - Grasshoppers	2.46	-0.42%
LOSS	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	2.38	-1.54%
LOSS	Padova U19 - Venezia U19	2.38	-1.54%
WIN	Sport Boys - Cusco FC	2.36	-1.54%
WIN	FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	2.50	-1.54%
LOSS	Montana - Spartak Varna	2.44	-1.54%
LOSS	Kifisias FC - Atromitos Athinon	2.29	-1.54%

Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.54% • n=136

Start

Started 55d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 58d 19h ago