Model: TIPPSH
St Gallen – FC Thun
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | St Gallen | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-L-W | D-L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W (home) | D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.20 for / 5.80 against | 3.20 for / 7.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 4.33 against (home) | 3.50 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors St Gallen. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. St Gallen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
St Gallen – FC Thun Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample49
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-4.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Montana - Spartak Varna | 2.44 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Kifisias FC - Atromitos Athinon | 2.29 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 9d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 9h ago