Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Deportivo Saprissa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Deportivo SaprissaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.07% based on n=218 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Primera Division (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Deportivo Saprissa shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Deportivo Saprissa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Herediano – Deportivo Saprissa Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo U20 | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Silvio Pettirossi - Presidente Hayes | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Dandenong City - South Melbourne | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Brasiliense U20 - Capital CF U20 | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Wuhan Three Towns U20 - Yunnan Yukun U20 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | CSKA 1948 Sofia - Partizan Belgrade | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Independiente Chivilcoy - CA Douglas Haig | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Universidad de Concepcion (W) - Deportes Iquique (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Highland Players - CD Rio San Juan Humi | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 11 Jul 21:00 |