Model: TIPPSA
SC Grobinas – Tukums 2000
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.41
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 25d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SC Grobinas | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-D-D | D-D-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D-L-L (home) | D-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 4.00 against | 5.80 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.20 for / 3.40 against (home) | 3.75 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Tukums 2000 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Tukums 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 6.0%
7D: -4.1%
15D: -13.0%
30D: -1.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.62First seen
Current2.41Now
Max odds2.62Highest point
Min odds2.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
SC Grobinas – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate38.2%
Profit-11.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
Pick
2 @ 2.41
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 25d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 22h ago