Model: TIPPSA
Aubagne Air Bel – Caen
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 11d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Aubagne Air Bel | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-L | L-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-D (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 5.00 against | 5.60 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Caen a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Caen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Aubagne Air Bel – Caen Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample146
Win Rate42.5%
Profit-0.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.34
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 11d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 16h ago