Aubagne Air Bel – Caen

Model: TIPPSA

Aubagne Air Bel vs Caen

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 57d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Caen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Caen

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aubagne Air BelHOME
VS
CaenAWAY
WDLLL
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.60
Shots on target for
3.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
4.00
Home splitW-L-L-D1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.34. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France National (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.34
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Caen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 17.6% 7D: 16.7% 15D: -2.7% 30D: -2.0%
Model insight

Aubagne Air Bel – Caen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample153
Win Rate41.8%
Profit-3.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.34
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 57d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 12h ago
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