Model: TipA1
Lagarto – CS Sergipe
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 24d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lagarto | CS Sergipe |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-L-W | W-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 2.67 conceded | 1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 6.60 against | 5.40 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 6.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. CS Sergipe has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 10.9%
7D: 4.5%
15D: -4.5%
30D: -2.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Lagarto – CS Sergipe Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.99% and 4.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample141
Win Rate41.8%
Profit-6.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) - Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Nosaby - FK Karlskrona | 2.10 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Blekitni Ropczyce - Stal Lancut | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Sydney University - Parramatta Eagles | 2.00 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens - Hume City | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Fenix Reserves - Lujan Reserves | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Lyn 1896 II - Gjøvik-Lyn | 2.00 | 3.75% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoPa - GrIFK Reservi | 2 | 2.50 | 4.27% | 12 Jun 17:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.99% • n=449
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.99% • n=449
Start
Started 24d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 19h ago