Model: TipTromba3H

Austin FC II vs St Louis City II

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 54d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.06% · n=213

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Austin FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Austin FC II

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Austin FC IIHOME

St Louis City IIAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LLDWW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

2.00

Shots on target for

6.80

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.20

Home splitW-W-D2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-D-W1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.06% based on n=213 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.55

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.06% · n=213

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Austin FC II shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Austin FC II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 11.4% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 3.5% 30D: 0.9%

Model insight

Austin FC II – St Louis City II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.06% across 213 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample119

Win Rate37.0%

Profit-3.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Tai'an Tiankuang	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%

Pick

1 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.06% • n=213

Start

Started 54d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 5h ago