Model: TIPPSH

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Tai'an Tiankuang

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 45d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanxi Chongde RonghaiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.80Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanxi Chongde RonghaiHOME

Tai'an TiankuangAWAY

WDDWL

Recent form

LLDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.80

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.00

Home splitW-D-L-W-D2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market prices Shanxi Chongde Ronghai as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -42.2% 7D: 1.6% 15D: -0.9% 30D: -0.5%

Model insight

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample109

Win Rate36.7%

Profit-7.83u

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WIN	Gremio - Sao Paulo	2.47	1.59%
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Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 45d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 46d ago