FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC

Model: TIPPSH

FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 28d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 23h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric FBK Karlstad Umeå FC
Last 5 form D-W-W-W-W D-W-D-W-L
Avg goals scored 2.20 2.00
Avg goals conceded 0.40 1.60
Home/Away form D-W-W-W (home) D-W-L-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded 1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Shots on target 6.20 for / 2.60 against 4.60 for / 5.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.25 for / 2.50 against (home) 2.60 for / 5.80 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FBK Karlstad's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 9.1% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 4.1% 30D: -0.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.94First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds3.11Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample238
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-13.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSNomads United - Nelson Suburbs2.302.49%
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LOSSFC Yamato Sylphid (W) - SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)2.402.49%
LOSSColorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic1.973.37%
LOSSCongo DR - Chile2.033.37%
WINWaterford FC - Sligo Rovers2.233.37%
WINOman - Mozambique2.183.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 28d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 23h ago
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