Nomads United vs Nelson Suburbs
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nomads United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nomads UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Cup (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nomads United's attacking profile.
Nomads United – Nelson Suburbs Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Adelaide Comets (W) - Salisbury Inter (W) | 2.36 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Vitesse - RKC | 2.35 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Afan Lido - Llantwit Major | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Estrella del Sur Reserves - CA Lugano Reserves | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Respublika FA - Gazalkent | 2.32 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Rapid Bucuresti | 2.55 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Gold Coast Knights (W) - Brisbane City (W) | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alianza Atletico - Cienciano | 2.35 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog - Rhyl | 1 | 2.10 | 3.37% | 08 Aug 15:30 |
| East Fife - Cove Rangers | 1 | 2.30 | 2.49% | 08 Aug 16:00 |
| Rennes - Brentford | 1 | 2.06 | 3.37% | 08 Aug 17:00 |
| MSK Zilina B - FK Pohronie | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 09 Aug 10:30 |
| CFR Cluj - Universitatea Cluj | 1 | 2.30 | 2.49% | 10 Aug 20:30 |