Model: TipTromba35H
America RJ – Madureira RJ
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 29d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=283
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 29d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | America RJ | Madureira RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W-D | L-W-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-D-L (home) | L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.40 against | 3.20 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.40 for / 5.20 against (home) | 2.75 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, America RJ has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to America RJ's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.8%
7D: 10.9%
15D: 2.2%
30D: -0.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.46Now
Max odds3.46Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
America RJ – Madureira RJ Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 283 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample96
Win Rate30.2%
Profit+0.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Mogi Mirim U23 - Santacruzense U23 | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Bonsucesso FC - Resende RJ | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Kumu - KoPa | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Lettir Reykjavik - Kria | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Uttaradit FC - Nara United | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | CD Esperanza - Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Dangjin Citizen FC - Changwon City | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Lithuania U19 - Latvia U19 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=283
Start
Started 29d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 29d 17h ago