Model: TIPPSH

Austin FC II vs St Louis City II

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 55d ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Austin FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Austin FC II

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.55Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Austin FC IIHOME

St Louis City IIAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LLDWW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

2.00

Shots on target for

6.80

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.20

Home splitW-W-D2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-D-W1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Austin FC II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 11.4% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 3.5% 30D: 0.9%

Model insight

Austin FC II – St Louis City II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample222

Win Rate43.7%

Profit-17.72u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00

Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 55d ago

Updated

Updated 56d 1h ago