Model: TipA1

Heips (W) vs Coritiba (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 54d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=553

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Coritiba (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Coritiba (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

19/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.02First seen

Current2.09Now

Max odds2.09Highest point

Min odds2.02Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Heips (W)HOME

Coritiba (W)AWAY

LWLWW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.40

Shots on target for

3.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

2.40

Home splitL-W-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=553 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A3 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.00

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=553

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 7.4% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 1.8% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

Heips (W) – Coritiba (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 553 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample159

Win Rate50.3%

Profit+7.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Defensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U20	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	St. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Holland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U23	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Osasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U20	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Selfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U19	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	Ponte Preta U20 - Santos U20	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	FC Honka (W) - EBK (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U20	2.10	-3.85%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Atyrau - FC Elimai Semey	2	2.15	-1.48%	12 Jul 16:00
JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II	2	2.15	-1.48%	12 Jul 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=553

Start

Started 54d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 5h ago