Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo

Model: TIPPSH

Racing Club de Montevideo vs Cerro Largo

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 54d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Racing Club de Montevideo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Racing Club de Montevideo

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.88Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Racing Club de MontevideoHOME
VS
Cerro LargoAWAY
WLDWD
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
2.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
4.00
Home splitW-D-D-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Torneo Intermedio (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Racing Club de Montevideo. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 28.9% 7D: 8.1% 15D: -7.0% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample295
Win Rate51.2%
Profit-4.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 54d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 23h ago
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