Ferroviaria SP – Brusque

Model: TIPPSH

Ferroviaria SP vs Brusque

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 54d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ferroviaria SP. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ferroviaria SP

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ferroviaria SPHOME
VS
BrusqueAWAY
WLDDW
Recent form
LWDWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
4.80
Home splitW-L-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-D1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.17
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.2% 7D: 14.2% 15D: -6.5% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Ferroviaria SP – Brusque Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample256
Win Rate46.1%
Profit-11.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINClub Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez2.412.49%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.383.15%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 54d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 5h ago
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