Model: TIPPSA
Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 9d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | LDU Quito (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-W | W-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.50 scored / 0.75 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.33 for / 5.33 against | 10.67 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 6.00 against (home) | 9.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to LDU Quito (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current2.78Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample31
Win Rate41.9%
Profit+6.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2.77 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Burnley - Wolverhampton | 2.90 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II | 2.88 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | HB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota | 2.85 | -0.51% |
| WIN | FC Thun - Young Boys | 2.93 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Hradec Kralove - Slovan Liberec | 2.86 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Hartford Athletic - Detroit City FC | 2.80 | -0.51% |
Pick
2 @ 2.77
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 9d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 1h ago