Model: TIPPSA
Kasimpasa – Galatasaray
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.27
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 24d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-L-W | L-W-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-W (home) | L-L-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 5.60 against | 5.40 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 3.80 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Galatasaray is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.3%
7D: 17.1%
15D: 7.7%
30D: -0.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.32Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Kasimpasa – Galatasaray Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample146
Win Rate42.5%
Profit-5.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
Pick
2 @ 2.27
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 24d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 3h ago