Model: TIPPSH
Pafos FC – Apoel Nicosia
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 4d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Pafos FC | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-L | L-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-W-D (home) | L-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded | 0.40 scored / 2.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 4.60 against | 3.60 for / 7.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.75 for / 5.75 against (home) | 3.40 for / 6.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Pafos FC. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Pafos FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Pafos FC – Apoel Nicosia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate52.4%
Profit+3.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok - Al Kahrabaa | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 27 May 17:00 |
| Molde U19 - Kristiansund BK U19 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 27 May 18:30 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FC Champagne Sport - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy II | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 27 May 20:00 |
| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 4d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 5d ago