Penarol Reserves vs Deportivo Maldonado Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Penarol Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Penarol ReservesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Penarol Reserves a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Penarol Reserves – Deportivo Maldonado Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 20:00 |
| Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 12 Jul 01:00 |
| Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 04:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |