Model: TIPPSA

Helsingborg vs Varbergs BoIS FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 53d ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Varbergs BoIS FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.67First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.76Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HelsingborgHOME

Varbergs BoIS FCAWAY

LDDWL

Recent form

WWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

4.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

2.20

Home splitL-D-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-D2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Superettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.27

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 16.6% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Helsingborg – Varbergs BoIS FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample150

Win Rate42.0%

Profit-7.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 53d ago

Updated

Updated 53d 3h ago