Model: TipTromba2H
Deportivo Cali – Alianza
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 4:40 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 6d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Deportivo Cali | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D-W | L-W-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-D (home) | L-D-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 3.40 against | 3.40 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.75 for / 3.50 against (home) | 3.20 for / 5.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Deportivo Cali a useful statistical edge. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Deportivo Cali is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Deportivo Cali – Alianza Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample118
Win Rate52.5%
Profit-3.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Puerto Nuevo Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Cerro Largo Reserves - Club Oriental Reserves | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | UD Logrones - UD San Sebastian Reyes | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Motagua - CD Marathon | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Yanapuma (W) - UNSAAC (W) | 1.83 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Rodange | 1.80 | 5.56% |
| WIN | FK Minija - FK Tauras | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Canberra Juventus | 1.90 | 6.89% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bage | 1 | 1.91 | 6.89% | 28 May 00:00 |
| Caxias RS - Ituano | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 31 May 00:30 |
| Macarthur Rams (W) - Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1 | 1.80 | 5.56% | 31 May 07:00 |
| Guarani - Amazonas FC | 1 | 1.80 | 7.35% | 31 May 23:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 4:40 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604
Start
Started 6d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 9h ago