Deportivo Cali – Alianza

Model: TipTromba2H

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 4:40 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 51d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Cali. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo Cali

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo CaliHOME
VS
AlianzaAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LWDDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.80
Home splitW-W-W-D1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Cup (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Deportivo Cali. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo Cali's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -4.8% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 0.6%
Model insight

Deportivo Cali – Alianza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample181
Win Rate56.9%
Profit+8.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMlada Boleslav - FC Silon Taborsko1.916.89%
WINFH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.677.81%
LOSSClub Olimpia de Ita - 12 De Octubre San Domingo1.806.89%
WINFK Teplice - FC Silon Taborsko1.806.17%
WINFK Radnicki 1923 - Buducnost Podgorica1.916.89%
WINNelson Suburbs - Northern AFC1.736.49%
WINSao Goncalo - Audax Rio1.957.35%
LOSSAjax - Panathinaikos1.806.89%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC - Nexus Miyakonojo11.806.17%12 Jul 03:00
Manly Utd (W) - Gladesville Ravens (W)11.806.89%12 Jul 09:00
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 4:40 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604
Start
Started 51d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 14h ago
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