St George City FA – Manly Utd

Model: TIPPSA

St George City FA vs Manly Utd

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 1:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 49d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Manly Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Manly Utd

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.88Now
Max odds3.36Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St George City FAHOME
VS
Manly UtdAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
3.80
Home splitL-W-L-W-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.64. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.64
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 45.1% 7D: 20.3% 15D: 9.5% 30D: 2.8%
Model insight

St George City FA – Manly Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+0.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
LOSSTPS - VPS Vaasa2.480.84%
LOSSCerezo Osaka - FC Tokyo2.460.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.64
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 1:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 49d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 6h ago
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