Model: TIPPSA
St George City FA – Manly Utd
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 1:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 3d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | St George City FA | Manly Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-W-L | W-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-W-L (home) | W-L-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 6.40 against | 3.40 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 7.20 against (home) | 2.25 for / 3.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.88Now
Max odds3.36Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
St George City FA – Manly Utd Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate38.1%
Profit-0.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Stjarnan - Fram Reykjavik | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Hobro IK - Aarhus Fremad | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| WIN | Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Charleroi - Genk | 2.58 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Slovan Sabinov - FC Kosice B | 2.64 | 1.92% |
| WIN | TIL 2020 Women - Viking FK (W) | 2.58 | 1.92% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina - NK Nafta 1903 | 2 | 2.55 | 0.84% | 27 May 18:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.64
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 1:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 3d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 4d ago