Moreton City Excelsior U23 – Brisbane City U23

Model: TipTromba2H

Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Brisbane City U23

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultWIN7 - 0
StartStarted 71d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 71d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Moreton City Excelsior U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Moreton City Excelsior U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.57Now
Max odds1.80Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Moreton City Excelsior U23HOME
VS
Brisbane City U23AWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.60
Shots on target for
9.60
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
8.00
Home splitW-W-L3.33 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL0.00 scored / 7.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.55
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Moreton City Excelsior U23 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.1% 7D: 21.3% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 4.0%
Model insight

Moreton City Excelsior U23 – Brisbane City U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample450
Win Rate64.0%
Profit+12.57u
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LOSSReal Potosi - GV San Jose1.50-1.89%
WINAD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa1.57-3.82%
LOSSMighty Wanderers - Blue Eagles1.73-1.89%
WINShanghai Port U20 - Henan U201.73-3.38%
LOSSAthletic Bilbao (W) - Deportivo La Coruna (W)1.70-3.82%
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Pick
1 @ 1.55
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Started 71d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 71d 22h ago
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