SV Estrella – SV Caiquetio

Model: TIPPSA

SV Estrella – SV Caiquetio

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 6d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 19h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric SV Estrella SV Caiquetio
Last 5 form L-D-W-W-D W-D-W-W-D
Avg goals scored 2.80 2.20
Avg goals conceded 2.20 0.20
Home/Away form L-W (home) W-D-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded 2.00 scored / 0.25 conceded
Shots on target 4.25 for / 8.75 against 8.75 for / 2.25 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.00 for / 9.50 against (home) 8.67 for / 2.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. SV Caiquetio has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.33First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.56Highest point
Min odds3.31Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

SV Estrella – SV Caiquetio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample42
Win Rate26.2%
Profit-4.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSLos Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders3.654.77%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
LOSSGrasshoppers - Aarau3.583.84%
WINSport Recife - CRB3.383.04%
LOSSFC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia3.702.94%
Pick
2 @ 3.51
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 6d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 19h ago
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