Al-Masafi – Al Bahri

Model: TipTromba4H

Al-Masafi vs Al Bahri

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 50d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al-Masafi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al-Masafi

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al-MasafiHOME
VS
Al BahriAWAY
WWDWD
Recent form
LLLDL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
1.80
1.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.20
2.40
Home splitW-W-D-W2.25 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Premier League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Al-Masafi has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.0% 7D: 17.4% 15D: 10.1% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

Al-Masafi – Al Bahri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample61
Win Rate34.4%
Profit+16.05u
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LOSSSan Luis Quillota - Everton de Vina3.603.99%
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LOSSVolsungur - Grotta Seltjarnarnes3.604.85%
WINFC Miami City (W) - Sporting JAX (W)3.603.99%
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Pick
1 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Started 50d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 4h ago
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