Model: TipA1

Phu Dong FC vs Da Nang II

PREDICTION

@ 2.45

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 22, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 1

StartStarted 50d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Da Nang II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Da Nang II

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.45First seen

Current2.50Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.45Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Phu Dong FCHOME

Da Nang IIAWAY

WLDLD

Recent form

LLLWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.20

Home splitW-L-L1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 3.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Vietnam Division 2 (vn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.45

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Da Nang II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.5% 7D: 19.0% 15D: 14.5% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

Phu Dong FC – Da Nang II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample189

Win Rate40.2%

Profit-4.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	ABB U19 - CDT Real Oruro U19	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Marcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	HPS - Reipas	2.50	4.27%
WIN	Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Odd BK - Haugesund	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	SC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2.60	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2	2.25	4.27%	12 Jul 04:00
Anapolis FC - Maringa FC	2	2.30	4.27%	12 Jul 21:00

Pick

2 @ 2.45

Kickoff

Mag 22, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Started 50d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 20h ago