Model: TIPPSA
Rebordosa – Leca
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 18d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Rebordosa | Leca |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-L | L-W-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-W (home) | L-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 3.80 against | 5.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.25 for / 4.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Leca. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Leca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.1%
7D: 25.6%
15D: 19.9%
30D: 5.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.64Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Rebordosa – Leca Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate39.3%
Profit-0.34u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | ZED FC - Wadi Degla | 2.54 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Mixto | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | TPS - VPS Vaasa | 2.48 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Cerezo Osaka - FC Tokyo | 2.46 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | NK Primorje Ajdovscina - NK Nafta 1903 | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 18d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 13h ago