Philadelphia Union II – Atlanta United II

Model: TIPPSA

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atlanta United II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atlanta United II

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Philadelphia Union IIHOME
VS
Atlanta United IIAWAY
WDLLW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
2.80
Home splitW-D-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Atlanta United II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.1% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 7.7%
Model insight

Philadelphia Union II – Atlanta United II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
WINHPS - Kiffen2.22-0.84%
WINOlimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto2.08-0.84%
LOSSPanama - Bosnia-Herzegovina2.14-0.84%
LOSSUCD II - Ballymun United2.09-0.84%
LOSSCEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario2.14-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 48d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 16h ago
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