Model: TIPPSA
Unam Pumas – Cruz Azul
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 20h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Unam Pumas | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W-L-D | W-D-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-W-W (home) | W-W-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded | 1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 4.40 against | 5.40 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.20 for / 4.40 against (home) | 6.40 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cruz Azul's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.46First seen
Current2.34Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Unam Pumas – Cruz Azul Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample73
Win Rate43.8%
Profit-2.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan | 2.06 | 1.21% |
Pick
2 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 1d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 20h ago