Unam Pumas – Cruz Azul

Model: TIPPSA

Unam Pumas vs Cruz Azul

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 47d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cruz Azul. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cruz Azul

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.46First seen
Current2.34Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Unam PumasHOME
VS
Cruz AzulAWAY
LDWLD
Recent form
WDWDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
2.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.40
Home splitL-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.28. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.28
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Cruz Azul. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Cruz Azul is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 47.4% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Unam Pumas – Cruz Azul Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample90
Win Rate46.7%
Profit+2.06u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 47d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 8h ago
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