Bay FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bay FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Bay FC (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Bay FC (W) showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bay FC (W)'s attacking profile.
Bay FC (W) – Chicago Stars (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20 | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Ironbound - Manhattan SC | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Seacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Managua FC - Rancho Santana FC | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Rhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FC Tucson - Capo FC | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Canterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United | 1.50 | -1.89% |