Model: TipA1

Sao Joseense vs Brasil de Pelotas

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 48d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brasil de Pelotas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brasil de Pelotas

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current3.75Now

Max odds3.75Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao JoseenseHOME

Brasil de PelotasAWAY

DLDWW

Recent form

DWDWL

Avg goals scored

0.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.20

0.80

Shots on target for

2.00

7.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.40

Home splitD-L-W-W0.50 scored / 0.25 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.27% based on n=211 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Brasil de Pelotas's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 27.7% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 7.7%

Model insight

Sao Joseense – Brasil de Pelotas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.27% across 211 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate35.3%

Profit+11.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45	4.00	2.27%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3.75	2.27%
WIN	Serrano - Sao Goncalo	3.70	2.63%
WIN	FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United	3.70	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava	3.80	2.27%
LOSS	Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers	4.00	2.27%

Pick

2 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.27% • n=211

Start

Started 48d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 23h ago