Arka Gdynia II vs LKS Pogon Lebork
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Arka Gdynia II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Arka Gdynia IIValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Arka Gdynia II showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Arka Gdynia II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Arka Gdynia II – LKS Pogon Lebork Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20 | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Tucson - Capo FC | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Canterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Port Melbourne U23 - North Sunshine Eagles U23 | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Lakeland United FC USL 2 - FC Miami City | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Sagesse SC | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Olympiacos - Rakow Czestochowa | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 11 Jul 22:00 |
| Salvo SC (W) - St Croix SC (W) | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 11 Jul 23:00 |
| Rhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 12 Jul 01:30 |
| Ironbound - Manhattan SC | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 12 Jul 01:30 |
| Managua FC - Rancho Santana FC | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 12 Jul 02:00 |