Model: TIPPSA
Sao Paulo U20 (W) – Flamengo U20 (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 2d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Paulo U20 (W) | Flamengo U20 (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-D | W-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D-W (home) | W-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 1.25 conceded | 2.25 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.60 against | 6.40 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 2.25 against (home) | 7.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Flamengo U20 (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current3.02Now
Max odds3.19Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sao Paulo U20 (W) – Flamengo U20 (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+6.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems | 2.82 | 7.70% |
| WIN | Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W) | 2.83 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Madura United - Bali United | 2.82 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin | 2.76 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
Pick
2 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.70% • n=151
Start
Started 2d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 10h ago