Ascoli vs Catania
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ascoli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AscoliValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Play-Offs (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ascoli's attacking profile.
Ascoli – Catania Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W) | 2.47 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS - P-Iirot | 1 | 2.47 | 3.15% | 11 Jul 16:00 |