EC Bahia vs Botafogo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botafogo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BotafogoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.61. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Botafogo shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Botafogo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
EC Bahia – Botafogo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ituano - Figueirense | 3.81 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf | 3.75 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |