Melville United – Tauranga City AFC

Model: TIPPSH

Melville United vs Tauranga City AFC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 28, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 45d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Melville United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Melville United

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Melville UnitedHOME
VS
Tauranga City AFCAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.20
2.00
Shots on target for
3.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.00
Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-D1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.8% 7D: 28.3% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 7.4%
Model insight

Melville United – Tauranga City AFC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample172
Win Rate43.0%
Profit-11.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINEPS - P-Iirot2.473.15%
WINVikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO2.473.15%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINClub Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez2.412.49%
LOSSDenver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)2.472.49%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 45d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 23h ago
Torna in alto