Model: TIPPSH
Melville United – Tauranga City AFC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.59
StatusUpcoming
KickoffMag 28, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 37m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Melville United | Tauranga City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-L | L-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-L-D (home) | L-L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 5.40 against | 3.80 for / 6.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.40 for / 7.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.9%
7D: 22.1%
15D: 13.9%
30D: 4.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.59Now
Max odds2.59Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Melville United – Tauranga City AFC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.59. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate41.7%
Profit+0.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Amanat Baghdad - Al Gharraf | 2.63 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk - Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 2.34 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | KS Mszczonowianka - Wilga Garwolin | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Mlandege FC - Uhamiaji FC | 2.57 | 2.49% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Rico Surf SC - Ponce FC | 1 | 2.46 | 3.15% | 28 May 02:30 |
| KaPa - JaPS | 1 | 2.57 | 2.49% | 29 May 18:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.59
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 7h 37m
Updated
Updated 2m ago