Model: TIPPSH
FC Lahti – FC Ilves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.60
StatusUpcoming
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 16h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Lahti | FC Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-W-D | W-W-L-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D-W-L (home) | D-W-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 2.20 against | 4.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.20 against (home) | 3.80 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Lahti's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.9%
7D: 22.1%
15D: 13.9%
30D: 4.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FC Lahti – FC Ilves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+4.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Club America (W) - Washington Spirit (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Ceilandia | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yazaki Valente FC - Chukyo University | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Palestino - Deportivo Riestra | 2.38 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Bavois - SC Cham | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Gangneung City | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Once Caldas (W) - Llaneros (W) | 2.35 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks | 1 | 2.37 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - FC Inter | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Avai - Criciuma | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 2.39 | 1.59% | 31 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 2d 16h
Updated
Updated 7m ago