Model: TipA1

Sirijus Klaipeda vs FK Sveikata

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 29, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 56d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.82% · n=246

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Sveikata. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK SveikataGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.83Now

Max odds2.83Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sirijus KlaipedaHOME

FK SveikataAWAY

DWDWW

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

9.60

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

8.20

2.40

Home splitD-D-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-L-W2.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania II Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.82% · n=246

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 16.2% 7D: 34.1% 15D: 24.6% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

Sirijus Klaipeda – FK Sveikata Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.82% across 246 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample112

Win Rate33.9%

Profit-4.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Go Ahead Eagles - OFI Crete	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Karlovac - NK Krka	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - Johvi FC Phoenix	2.55	6.36%
WIN	East Bengal Club - Mohun Bagan SG	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	River Plate Asuncion - Club General Martin Ledesma	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	SV Lafnitz - USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2.90	5.52%
WIN	FC Groningen - FC Volendam	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	3.00	5.52%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Taubate (W) - Sport Recife (W)	2	2.70	6.36%	25 Jul 20:00

Pick

2 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Mag 29, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.82% • n=246

Start

Started 56d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 9h ago