Model: TIPPSA

Go Ahead Eagles vs OFI Crete

PREDICTION

@ 3.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 0

StartStarted 18h 34m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=54

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is OFI Crete. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OFI CreteGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current3.98Now

Max odds3.98Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Go Ahead EaglesHOME

OFI CreteAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.60

Shots on target for

3.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

4.80

Home splitW-L-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-D1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.80

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=54

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor OFI Crete. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 7.3% 7D: 20.0% 15D: 14.6% 30D: 22.3%

Model insight

Go Ahead Eagles – OFI Crete Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.92% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample29

Win Rate10.3%

Profit-17.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Club Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC	3.69	4.77%
LOSS	Ostersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS	3.60	4.77%
LOSS	Ituano - Figueirense	3.81	2.78%
LOSS	Sarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U19	3.89	3.99%
LOSS	USA - Paraguay	3.97	3.92%
LOSS	Askoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC	4.04	2.78%
LOSS	Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf	3.75	3.92%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders	3.65	4.77%

Pick

2 @ 3.80

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.73% • n=54

Start

Started 18h 34m ago

Updated

Updated 20h 48m ago