Model: TIPPSH
Envigado FC vs Real Cartagena
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 56d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 23h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Envigado FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Envigado FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
33/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Envigado FCHOME
VS
Real CartagenaAWAY
DWWWD
Recent form
DLWWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
4.20
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.80
Home splitD-W-D-W-W1.20 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera B (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.2%
7D: 34.1%
15D: 24.6%
30D: 8.6%
Model insight
Envigado FC – Real Cartagena Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample272
Win Rate48.2%
Profit+14.86u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA | 2.29 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Barry Town - Gloucester | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Box Hill United | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2.09 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W) | 2.25 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad | 1 | 2.07 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 18:00 |
| Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 18:15 |
| Real Murcia - Port Vale | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Carolina Core FC - Chicago Fire II | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
| Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders | 1 | 2.15 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 56d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 23h ago