Tacoma Stars – FC Olympia

Model: TIPPSH

Tacoma Stars vs FC Olympia

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 53d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tacoma Stars. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tacoma StarsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tacoma StarsHOME
VS
FC OlympiaAWAY
WLDD
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.50
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.60
Shots on target for
2.50
1.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.00
4.75
Home splitW4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L0.33 scored / 3.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.80
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Tacoma Stars has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tacoma Stars's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.1% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Tacoma Stars – FC Olympia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate48.7%
Profit+13.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINWestern City Rangers - Newcastle Jets NPL3.022.04%
WINJK Trans Narva - Parnu JK Vaprus3.002.04%
LOSSSuwon FC - Seoul E-Land FC2.894.53%
LOSSFH Hafnarfjordur - Breidablik3.054.53%
WINSeongnam FC - Busan I Park3.014.53%
WINMiami FC - Indy Eleven2.794.53%
LOSSFredrikstad - Lillestrom2.892.04%
WINSan Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2.894.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Stal Rzeszow - Chrobry Glogow12.804.53%25 Jul 15:30
Sligo Rovers - Drogheda United12.884.53%25 Jul 20:45
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 53d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 15h ago
Torna in alto