Model: TIPPSA
Chongqing Tonglianglong – Beijing Guoan
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 3d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-L-D | W-L-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-D-D-W (home) | W-D-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.40 against | 7.60 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 3.20 against (home) | 6.80 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Beijing Guoan shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Beijing Guoan is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 0.3%
7D: 15.3%
15D: 21.2%
30D: 10.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.52Now
Max odds2.52Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Chongqing Tonglianglong – Beijing Guoan Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample142
Win Rate41.5%
Profit+5.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.52
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.43% • n=79
Start
Started 3d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 5h ago