Model: TIPPSH
Brasiliense – Luverdense
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 12d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Brasiliense | Luverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-L-D | D-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D-D-D (home) | D-L-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 3.40 against | 2.80 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.40 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Brasiliense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 3.5%
7D: 7.6%
15D: 26.0%
30D: 10.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.77First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.77Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Brasiliense – Luverdense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample179
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-14.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Excursionistas U20 - Deportivo Laferrere U20 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - FC Jazz | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | IA Akranes (W) - Selfoss (W) | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Canberra Olympic - Canberra Juventus | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Leca - CG Vitoria Sernache | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | San Lorenzo Reserves - Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Throttur Vogar - Vikingur Olafsvik | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Angelholm - BK Olympic | 2.12 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Loveledge Nagoya (W) - Iga FC Kunoichi (W) | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 13 Jun 06:00 |
| University NSW - St George Saints | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 13 Jun 07:00 |
| Gold Coast Knights U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23 | 1 | 2.18 | 1.04% | 13 Jun 07:45 |
| Hurstville FC U20 - Western City Rangers U20 | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 13 Jun 11:00 |
| Elfsborg (W) - IFK Goteborg (W) | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 13 Jun 13:00 |
| AIK (W) - Djurgardens (W) | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 13 Jun 13:00 |
| FC Rosengård (W) - IFK Norrkoping (W) | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 13 Jun 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 12d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 11h ago