Model: TIPPSH
IA Akranes (W) vs Selfoss (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 11, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN5 - 1
StartStarted 51d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 23h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is IA Akranes (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: IA Akranes (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
32/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
IA Akranes (W)HOME
VS
Selfoss (W)AWAY
WDLWL
Recent form
LWLDL
Avg goals scored
3.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
3.00
Shots on target for
3.25
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.25
9.20
Home splitW-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-L1.80 scored / 3.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.10
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.9%
7D: -1.5%
15D: 1.5%
30D: 14.7%
Model insight
IA Akranes (W) – Selfoss (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample439
Win Rate46.7%
Profit-15.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Darmstadt - Portsmouth | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Lens - Villarreal | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad B - Huesca | 2.14 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | SSV Jeddeloh - FSV Schoningen | 1.85 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Sunderland - Wrexham | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 02 Aug 18:00 |
| Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 02 Aug 19:30 |
| Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 02 Aug 21:30 |
| Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 02:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Giu 11, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 51d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 23h ago