Model: TIPPSH

Leca vs CG Vitoria Sernache

PREDICTION

@ 1.82

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 10, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 55d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LecaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.82First seen

Current1.82Now

Max odds1.82Highest point

Min odds1.82Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LecaHOME

CG Vitoria SernacheAWAY

DWLWD

Recent form

DWDWD

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.40

Shots on target for

5.00

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.20

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.82. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.82

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Leca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 68.1% 7D: -6.2% 15D: 1.6% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Leca – CG Vitoria Sernache Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample386

Win Rate47.4%

Profit-38.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro	2.05	1.04%
LOSS	RTC FC - Thimphu FC	1.77	1.04%
WIN	FC Cincinnati - Pachuca	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.82

Kickoff

Giu 10, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746

Start

Started 55d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 56d ago