Ukraine – Portugal

Model: TipA1

Ukraine vs Portugal

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 01, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 48d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Portugal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Portugal

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.30Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UkraineHOME
VS
PortugalAWAY
WW
Recent form
L
Avg goals scored
2.50
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.50
3.00
Shots on target for
4.00
N/A
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
N/A
Home splitW3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to EMF Mini Euro - 50 mins play. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.30
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.2% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 23.6% 30D: 12.7%
Model insight

Ukraine – Portugal Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-7.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNK Radomlje - NK Brinje Grosuplje2.356.36%
LOSSJK Tammeka Tartu II - JK Trans Narva II2.357.37%
LOSSBrasil de Pelotas U20 - CF Com Vida Saf U202.406.36%
LOSSEC Juventude U20 - Internacional U202.256.36%
LOSSLokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali2.386.36%
LOSSJS Hercules - FC Vaajakoski2.256.36%
LOSSMSK Zilina - Pardubice2.456.36%
LOSSReal Central NJ - Delaware FC2.356.36%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Tecnico Universitario - SD Aucas22.306.36%19 Jul 18:45
Pick
2 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Giu 01, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.36% • n=530
Start
Started 48d ago
Updated
Updated 48d 11h ago
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