Model: TIPPSA

UNSAAC (W) vs Flamengo FBC (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 01, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 46d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo FBC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo FBC (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.38Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UNSAAC (W)HOME

Flamengo FBC (W)AWAY

DLLLL

Recent form

DDWLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.60

Defensive weakness

3.20

1.40

Shots on target for

3.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.00

3.20

Home splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-L1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Campeonato Nacional Women (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Flamengo FBC (W). Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 1.1% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 22.8% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

UNSAAC (W) – Flamengo FBC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample101

Win Rate53.5%

Profit+14.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK	2.15	1.21%
LOSS	Holstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah	2.42	0.84%
WIN	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2.04	1.21%
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
WIN	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan	2.03	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Giu 01, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 46d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 22h ago