Greece – Serbia

Model: TipTromba45H

Greece vs Serbia

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 01, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 50d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Greece. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GreeceGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current4.33Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GreeceHOME
VS
SerbiaAWAY
L
Recent form
WL
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
4.00
2.50
Shots on target for
N/A
1.00
SoT conceded pressure
N/A
5.00
Home splitL2.00 scored / 4.00 conceded
Away splitW-L2.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.68% based on n=92 historical similar picks. The match belongs to EMF Mini Euro - 50 mins play. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.33
V2 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92
V4 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.5% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 21.3% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Greece – Serbia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.68% and 0.68%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+18.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNacional Senac - CD Municipal Tarija4.330.68%
WINBoston City FC U20 - America MG U204.330.68%
WINByåsen - Melhus4.330.68%
LOSSSportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves4.201.80%
LOSSFish United - NoPS4.101.80%
WINVJS Vantaa - FF Jaro4.101.80%
WINAS Binah - ASKO Kara4.331.72%
LOSSATUS Ferlach - SV Donau Klagenfurt4.201.80%
Pick
1 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Giu 01, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.68% • n=92
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.68% • n=92
Start
Started 50d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 15h ago
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